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Jobless rate hits 8.6%

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Tavia Grant, The Globe and Mail
November 06, 2009



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Canada's unemployment rate jumped two notches to 8.6 percent last month as employers unexpectedly shed jobs, suggesting the country is still struggling for a sustained recovery.

Employers cut 43,200 positions in October, reversing two months of gains, Statistics Canada said Friday. Economists had expected about 10,000 new jobs for the month.

The report marks a full year of employment data on the economic crisis, from October of last year when the labour market peaked, to October of this year. About 400,000 positions have evaporated in that time, though the agency noted the majority of that decline was in the first five months of the downturn.

Friday's report suggests many employers remain cautious about hiring.

"Considering the lacklustre performance in the economy during the third quarter, especially compared to the U.S., it's not a complete surprise to see firms maintaining a tight leash on staffing," said Andrew Pyle, ScotiaMcLeod associate portfolio manager, in a note.

In a positive sign, full-time employment rose by 16,500 positions, the second straight month of growth. Part-time work dropped by 60,000 positions in October, with adult women and youth bearing the brunt of the drop.

Over the past year, however, full-time employment has fallen at a much faster rate than part time work, falling 2.7 percent, compared with a 0.7-percent drop.

Employment has decreased in most industries in the past year. The biggest yearly drops have been in manufacturing, natural resources, construction and transportation. Some sectors have expanded though, notably in information, culture and recreation as well as in finance, insurance, real estate and leasing.

Among provinces, Alberta, Ontario and Newfoundland and Labrador have all experienced above-average employment drops over the past year.

The weaker-than-expected report put pressure on the Canadian dollar. The currency weakened to 93.53 cents US from Thursday's close of 93.83 cents.

"The big decline in October highlights the sluggish nature of the recovery and reinforces our expectation that the Bank of Canada will hold true to its commitment to hold rates steady until at least June 2010," said Bank of Montreal economist Benjamin Reitzes.

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty repeated his expectations Thursday that job numbers will remain weak for some time.

"Over all I expect to see some weakness in the job area. We need to have a clear, entrenched economic recovery and then the job numbers will have to catch up to that as businesses start to reinvest," newswires reported Thursday.



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