FOCUS: Technical Analysis

Market Outlook:

During the later stages of a long bull market – investors can get confused and begin to engage in market timing or over-trading. The best approach would be to understand the longer term structure of the great 2009 – 2016 advance in the major global stock markets. If we apply long term analysis to market bellwethers we can better identify our current location within the great 2009 – 2016 advance.     

The term Bellwether – was derived from the Middle English Bellwether which refers to the practice of placing a bell around the neck of a castrated ram – (a wether) in order that this animal might lead its flock of sheep.

Some U.S. Bellwethers - Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) and Honeywell (HON)

TOP PICKS:

iShares S&P/TSX Capped Materials Index ETF (XMA.TO) 

A diverse basket metal miners, chemicals and forest products.  

BMO S&P/TSX Equal Weight Industrials Index (ZIN.TO)

A diverse basket of cyclical railroads, aerospace, infrastructure and engineering companies.

CAE Inc (CAE.TO)

Looking for alpha here - A cyclical component of the TSX Industrial Index and one of a few Canadian aerospace names.

Disclosure Personal Family Portfolio/Fund
XMA N N N
ZIN N N N
CAE Y N N

Past Picks: Oct. 6, 2015

Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM.TO)

Recommended at: Now at: Change Total Return
$37.60 $47.80 +27.13% +27.70%

Rogers Communications (RCIb.TO)

Recommended at: Now at: Change Total Return
$46.90 $50.88 +8.46% +10.56%

Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH_u.TO)

Recommended at: Now at: Change Total Return
$12.30 $13.74 +11.67% +13.54%

 

Total Return Average : +17.27%

Disclosure Personal Family Portfolio/Fund
AEM N N N
RCIb.TO N N N
CSH_u N N N