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Mar 29, 2017

TSX sees modest rise as oil prices lift energy stocks

Toronto Stock Exchange TSX TMX Group

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Canada's main stock index rose modestly on Wednesday as a more than two per cent increase in oil prices boosted shares of energy and resource companies.

A smaller-than-expected increase in U.S. crude inventories along with supply disruptions in Libya helped lift U.S. crude futures US$1.14, or 2.4 per cent, to US$49.51 a barrel.

Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ.TO) was the biggest lift on the Canadian stock index, rising 2.4 per cent to $43.86, followed by Suncor Energy (SU.TO), which was up 1.5 per cent at $42.05. The energy sector as a whole rose 2.2 per cent.

Investors on Bay Street also shrugged off the official start of Britain's divorce from the European Union.

That suggests the market could be more resilient to geopolitical factors than had been anticipated after only a muted market response to U.S. Republican leaders pulling legislation to overhaul the U.S. health-care system last week, said Bryden Teich, portfolio manager at Avenue Investment Management in Toronto.

"There's more of a floor to the market than people had been giving credit to," Teich said.

The Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index closed up 59.06 points, or 0.38 per cent, at 15,657.63.Of the index's 10 main groups, seven were in positive territory.

Materials stocks also helped support the market, with the sector up 0.7 per cent. Shares of Teck Resources (TECKb.TO) were up 1.8 per cent at $29.54 after the company reconfirmed its annual production guidance.

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO) shares edged up 0.4 per cent at $66.13 the day before executives were set to face shareholders after media reports which suggested branch staff were pressured to meet sales targets.

Bank stocks have rallied in recent sessions, though the sector is still down 1.6 per cent since the report by the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation was first published this month.

U.S. MARKETS

The benchmark S&P 500 eked out a gain on Wednesday as strength in the energy and consumer sectors offset declines in financial shares and investors began looking ahead to first-quarter earnings season.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended slightly lower, falling for the ninth session out of the past 10, while the Nasdaq rose for a fourth straight day.

Investors have been assessing what the Republicans' failure to pass a health-care bill means for tax reform and the rest of President Donald Trump's agenda, hopes for which have helped drive stocks to record highs.

They are looking to first-quarter earnings to support lofty valuations for stocks, with the S&P 500 trading at nearly 18 times earnings estimates for the next 12 months against its long-term average of 15 times.

First-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies are expected to rise 10.1 per cent, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

"The policy risk has increased ... but economic data still remains solid and therefore earnings should be good," said Walter Todd, chief investment officer of Greenwood Capital in Greenwood, South Carolina. "Absent some revelation on the policy front, I think that's the next catalyst for the market, is when we start seeing companies report."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 42.18 points, or 0.2 per cent, to 20,659.32, the S&P 500 gained 2.56 points, or 0.11 per cent, to 2,361.13 and the Nasdaq Composite added 22.41 points, or 0.38 per cent, to 5,897.55.

The energy sector gained 1.2 per cent, leading all sectors, supported by stronger oil prices.

The consumer discretionary sector rose 0.6 per cent as retailers such as Nordstrom and Kohl's surged. Amazon.com rose 2.1 per cent and hit an all-time high, giving the biggest boost to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

Financial shares fell back 0.5 per cent a day after leading a rally.

Investors also digested comments from Federal Reserve officials. Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said he favors further interest rate hikes this year, while Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren said the Fed should raise rates three more times in 2017.

"The market seems to be unfazed by the fact that the Fed is looking to be somewhat aggressive in raising rates," said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago.

The stock rally fuelled by optimism President Donald Trump will boost the economy may be near its peak, according to a Reuters poll of strategists, who forecast U.S. shares will gain less than three per cent between now and year-end.

In corporate news, Vertex Pharmaceuticals soared 20.5 per cent after the company's cystic fibrosis treatment succeeded in a late-stage study. The stock boosted the S&P and helped drive the Nasdaq Biotechnology index up 0.9 per cent.

About 5.8 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, well below the 6.9 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions and among the lightest volume days in 2017.

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.88-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.59-to-1 ratio favored advancers.

The S&P 500 posted 14 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 24 new lows.

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